BAYESIAN MODELLING OF POPULATION TRENDS IN ALCOHOL CONSUMPTION PROVIDES EMPIRICALLY BASED COUNTRY ESTIMATES FOR SOUTH AFRICA

Bayesian modelling of population trends in alcohol consumption provides empirically based country estimates for South Africa

Abstract Background Alcohol use has widespread effects on health and contributes to over 200 detrimental conditions.Although the pattern of heavy episodic drinking independently increases the risk for injuries and transmission of some infectious diseases, long-term average consumption is the fundamental predictor of risk for most conditions.Populat

read more


La sociologie est-elle une science ?

Sociology is not a science but a discipline to be compared in this respect with history.Of course, this does not prevent it from being an intellectual endeavour worth to be pursued.But the conditions allowing to characterise it as a science strictly speaking are not fulfilled.The sociological community is very heterogeneous and torn between contrad

read more